The Incident likelihood trends widget is on the ROI dashboard (MAX > Customer portal > ROI tab).
A table comparing how the customer's vendor portfolio is distributed across incident-likelihood ratings (Critical, High, Medium, Low) across three points in time: the First, Previous, and Last assessment, with a Trend column showing the change in vendor count between the previous and latest assessment (a green/flat/red indicator with the delta). This shows whether the number of vendors rated at each likelihood level improves or worsens across subsequent assessments.